Wednesday, December 19, 2012

12/19/12 Selections

I have to say, it's an odd night in the NBA. Lots of heavy home favorites and similar styles clashing on the hardwood tonight. Lower volume of picks than normal for V43 today, no 3- or 4-star plays, and there is a formula disagreement for the second time.

I want to note that on 12/16/12 there was also a formula disagreement. Obviously, bets should not be made on these picks since you are just throwing away juice, but I wanted to document them to keep an accurate track of each formula's success rate. However, I did not throw out this guaranteed 1-1 end result in the combined formula summary. I am doing that now, and the guaranteed result of tonight's 1-1 will also be excluded from the combined performance summary when going over the results later tonight (all four selections involved are 2-stars). I just want to clear this up since the combined formula YTD record will be different by one win and one loss from what was posted last night. I believe in being as transparent as possible with this system's results.

Again, to reiterate, the plays highlighted in yellow are conflicts and should not be played; the plays italicized and highlighted blue are 5-star or 2x plays.

Note: The system also caps 2H lines as well but these lines are not released until games are at halftime. If the system finds a favorable 2H line it will be posted on the V43sports twitter: @V43sports

Formula 1's 2 star plays: 28-14-1 (.667) YTD
Nets 1H +3
Thunder 1H -3.5
!Hawks 4Q +1.5!
Rockets 1Q -2
Suns 1Q -3
Bucks 1H +5.5
Formula 1's 3 star plays: 5-6-1 (.455) YTD
- none tonight -
Formula 1's 4 star plays: 1-0 (1.000) YTD
- none tonight -
Formula 1 is 34-20-2 (.630) YTD

Formula 2's 2 star plays: 32-19-1 (.627) YTD
Knicks 1Q -2
Magic 3Q -2
Wizards 4Q +2
Jazz 1Q +1
Thunder 1Q -1.5
Hawks 2Q +1.5
!Thunder 4Q -1.5!
Rockets 1Q -2
Bucks 1Q +3
Bucks 2Q +2.5
Bucks 1H +5.5
Hornets 1Q +4
Clippers 2Q -3.5
Clippers 4Q -2.5
Formula 2's 3 star plays: 5-5 (.500) YTD
- none tonight -
Formula 2's 4 star plays: 3-2 (.600) YTD
- none tonight -
Formula 2 is 40-26-1 (.606) YTD

Combined Formula Prior Performance:
2 star plays: 59-32-2 (.648) YTD
3 star plays: 10-11-1 (.476) YTD
4 star plays: 4-2 (.667) YTD
5 star plays (the italicized formula agreements): 19-6-1 (.760) YTD
Overall combined record (throwing out disagreements): 73-45-3 (.619) YTD
 





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